Dems carry big lead in races, poll says
Wednesday October 29, 2008
By: Albert McKeon
From: Nashua Telegraph
Wednesday October 29, 2008
By: Albert McKeon
From: Nashua Telegraph
A new University of New Hampshire poll has Democrats leading the races for president, U.S. Senate, U.S. House and governor with one week left before the election.
The UNH Survey Center poll shows Democrat Barack Obama holding a large lead over Republican John McCain, 55 percent to 39 percent.
The poll had two percent of those surveyed preferring another candidate and five percent undecided.
The poll, released Monday night, surveyed 698 likely voters between Friday and Saturday.
It was taken in two parts: statewide for president, senate and governor; and separate surveys for the two congressional districts.
It shows that in the U.S. Senate race, incumbent Republican John E. Sununu trails Democrat Jeanne Shaheen by 11 percentage points. Sununu beat Shaheen in 2002 for the Senate seat.
But in this rematch, Shaheen has the support of 49 percent of those polled, while Sununu has 38 percent support, according to the UNH Survey Center. Twelve percent were undecided, and two percent chose someone else.
The dynamics of the Senate race mirror the presidential contest in that the Republican candidate is losing ground since the financial crisis and stock market crash in September, Survey Center Director Andrew Smith said.
In the match for the 2nd Congressional District seat, incumbent Democrat Paul Hodes holds a big lead over Republican Nashua resident Jennifer Horn.
Forty-eight percent of those polled favor Hodes, and only 26 percent say they will vote for Horn, according to the Survey Center.
But Horn could still capitalize on undecided voters, if the poll is an accurate reflection of the electorate. Of those surveyed on this race, 25 percent remain undecided.
In the 1st Congressional District matchup, incumbent Democrat Carol Shea-Porter holds a slimmer lead over her rival, Republican Jeb Bradley. Shea-Porter notched 48 percent support, while Bradley earned 40 percent, with 11 percent undecided, the poll said. In 2006, Shea-Porter defeated then-incumbent Bradley.
The other race of note isn't even a contest, according to the poll. Gov. John Lynch leads his Republican challenger, Joe Kenney, by a 68 percent to 18 percent margin, the poll said.
The potential sampling error for the statewide survey is 3.7 percent.
Three-hundred forty-seven likely 1st Congressional District voters were surveyed, and that poll has a margin of sampling error of 5.3 percent. For the 2nd Congressional District race, 351 likely voters were interviewed, and that survey also has a margin of sampling error of 5.3 percent.
The UNH Survey Center poll shows Democrat Barack Obama holding a large lead over Republican John McCain, 55 percent to 39 percent.
The poll had two percent of those surveyed preferring another candidate and five percent undecided.
The poll, released Monday night, surveyed 698 likely voters between Friday and Saturday.
It was taken in two parts: statewide for president, senate and governor; and separate surveys for the two congressional districts.
It shows that in the U.S. Senate race, incumbent Republican John E. Sununu trails Democrat Jeanne Shaheen by 11 percentage points. Sununu beat Shaheen in 2002 for the Senate seat.
But in this rematch, Shaheen has the support of 49 percent of those polled, while Sununu has 38 percent support, according to the UNH Survey Center. Twelve percent were undecided, and two percent chose someone else.
The dynamics of the Senate race mirror the presidential contest in that the Republican candidate is losing ground since the financial crisis and stock market crash in September, Survey Center Director Andrew Smith said.
In the match for the 2nd Congressional District seat, incumbent Democrat Paul Hodes holds a big lead over Republican Nashua resident Jennifer Horn.
Forty-eight percent of those polled favor Hodes, and only 26 percent say they will vote for Horn, according to the Survey Center.
But Horn could still capitalize on undecided voters, if the poll is an accurate reflection of the electorate. Of those surveyed on this race, 25 percent remain undecided.
In the 1st Congressional District matchup, incumbent Democrat Carol Shea-Porter holds a slimmer lead over her rival, Republican Jeb Bradley. Shea-Porter notched 48 percent support, while Bradley earned 40 percent, with 11 percent undecided, the poll said. In 2006, Shea-Porter defeated then-incumbent Bradley.
The other race of note isn't even a contest, according to the poll. Gov. John Lynch leads his Republican challenger, Joe Kenney, by a 68 percent to 18 percent margin, the poll said.
The potential sampling error for the statewide survey is 3.7 percent.
Three-hundred forty-seven likely 1st Congressional District voters were surveyed, and that poll has a margin of sampling error of 5.3 percent. For the 2nd Congressional District race, 351 likely voters were interviewed, and that survey also has a margin of sampling error of 5.3 percent.
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